New York, NY IMG HI 58° LO 56°
Home Pollster John Curtice predicts a 99% Labour victory in the next election
World News

Pollster John Curtice predicts a 99% Labour victory in the next election


The senior pollster's warning comes amid low opinion poll ratings and municipal elections.


According to Sir John Curtice, the next general election will likely result in a significant defeat for the Tories, with Labour having a 99% chance of winning.


According to a political analyst, the Conservatives' chances of improving their chances are slim.

The analyst also pointed out that the Labour Party will have a stronger position to negotiate a minority government than the Conservatives. This is because, apart from possibly the DUP, the Conservatives lack support in the House of Commons.


The cautionary message from a prominent political analyst will only add to the mounting pressure on the troubled Conservatives, who are already grappling with the resignations of two cabinet ministers who have announced their decision to step down in the upcoming election.


Robert Halfon has resigned as skills, apprenticeships, and higher education minister. At the same time, James Heappey has fulfilled his plan to step down as armed forces minister before leaving parliament at the general election.


With his departure, 63 Conservative MPs have made it known that they will not be seeking re-election or are stepping down from their current parliamentary positions.


The resignations come after a string of concerning opinion poll ratings for the Conservatives.

The most recent Telegraph-Savanta poll tracker revealed that the Tories are currently at their lowest rating since the aftermath of Liz Truss' controversial mini-budget, which ultimately led to her departure from office. They currently stand at 24 %

Labour maintains a steady 20 point-lead, fueling speculation about the party's potential victory and formation of the next government.


With the House of Commons going into recess, Rishi Sunak is preparing for a significant test as the local council elections approach on May 2 2024.


The party is expected to experience significant losses as the country reacts to reduced local council funding, rising living costs, and dissatisfaction with the ruling party.


Mr Sunak kicked off his local election campaign earlier this week, criticising Labour leader Keir Starmer for his perceived arrogance in underestimating voters and assuming an easy path to No 10.


According to a recent poll by Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, the Conservative Party is predicted to face significant losses in the upcoming election. If they repeat their underwhelming performance from 2023, which fell below 30% in the NEV, they could potentially lose up to 500 seats, accounting for half of their councillors facing election.


Mr Sunak has called for solidarity among his colleagues amidst the Tory party's negative surveys and internal conflicts.


According to some insiders, certain MPs are concerned that a poor showing in the local elections could lead to a leadership contest or even prompt the prime minister to consider an early general election.

0 Comments found

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *